Morgan Stanley sees S&P 500 ending 2024 at 4,500

(Reuters) — Morgan Stanley said on Monday it expects the S&P 500 to end 2024 at 4,500, and predicted earnings recovery through the year.

The target represents a 2% upside from current levels. The index on Friday closed 1.6% higher at 4,415.24.

Strategists at the brokerage led by Michael Wilson expect a 7% uptick in earnings per share (EPS) for index companies next year, along with a 4-5% revenue growth and “modest” margin expansion amid easing labor costs.

However, near-term earnings headwinds will persist into early next year before a “durable” recovery takes hold, Wilson said.

Wilson sees strong earnings environment in 2025 with a 16% jump in profit driven by artificial intelligence-led improvement in productivity and margin expansion.

Specialist trader Ned Zelles works at his post on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange, August 21, 2015. 

Specialist trader Ned Zelles works at his post on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange, August 21, 2015. 

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